Home Prices Could “Stall” for Years | October 2025 Housing Market Update

BiggerPockets Blog
Published: October 24, 2025
Pricing & Profitability

Summary

According to the BiggerPockets October 2025 housing market update, real home prices may stall or decline, impacting investor returns. Hosts should be aware of these market trends as they could affect their investment strategies and profitability in the coming years.

Key Insights

  • The housing market is in an affordability crisis, constraining demand and supply which could lead to stagnant or declining real home prices.
  • The average appreciation rate in the United States is about 3.5%, and the average inflation rate is about 2.5%, so the real return is only about 1-1.5%.
  • Nominal home prices are up slightly (1.2% according to Case-Schiller, 2% according to Redfin), while real home prices (adjusted for inflation) are about 3% below their peak and have been flat for three years.

Action Items

  • Consider the impact of real home price stagnation/decline on your investment strategy, adjusting for potentially negative real returns and decreased appreciation.
    Effort: medium
    Impact: medium

Tools & Resources

  • Case-Schiller, Redfin, Zillow, BiggerPockets: The article mentions data from Case-Schiller, Redfin, Zillow, and BiggerPockets.

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