The “Great Stall” Has Begun

BiggerPockets Blog
Published: November 7, 2025
Pricing & Profitability

Summary

This BiggerPockets article discusses the current state of the housing market, suggesting a "Great Stall" period of stagnant prices and high mortgage rates. Hosts should understand this market dynamic as it impacts investment decisions and profitability, considering the potential scenarios of a crash, melt up, or prolonged stall.

Key Insights

  • Affordability, influenced by wages, home prices, and mortgage rates, is the key variable to watch.
  • The article suggests the housing market is entering a "Great Stall," characterized by stagnant home prices and high mortgage rates, which could last for years.
  • The article outlines three potential scenarios: a housing crash, a melt-up with rapid price acceleration, and the Great Stall, with the Great Stall being the most likely.

Action Items

  • Hosts should stay informed on housing market trends and analyze the impact on their investment strategies and profitability.
    Effort: low
    Impact: medium
  • Consider the potential impact of these scenarios on your STR investments and adjust strategies accordingly, especially regarding pricing and occupancy.
    Effort: medium
    Impact: medium

Tools & Resources

  • BiggerPockets: The article is from BiggerPockets, a real estate investment and analysis website.(biggerpockets.com)

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