Why Mortgage Rates are Rising as the Fed Keeps Cutting

BiggerPockets Blog
Published: November 4, 2025
Pricing & Profitability

Summary

Mortgage rates are unexpectedly increasing despite the Federal Reserve cutting rates, primarily due to concerns about inflation and the labor market. Hosts should understand that economic factors influencing the bond market, and subsequently mortgage rates, impact housing affordability and potentially the housing market.

Key Insights

  • The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points (0.25%), but mortgage rates went up due to uncertainty in the market stemming from what the Federal Reserve chairman said.
  • The bond market is reactive to recession risks, causing bond investors to invest in bonds, which influences mortgage rates.
  • We are at a 4.2% unemployment rate and inflation is at 3.1%, but it could shift into a stagflationary environment.

Action Items

  • Monitor economic indicators (inflation and labor market data) to understand how the bond market and mortgage rates might move, which can impact housing affordability.
    Effort: low
    Impact: medium

Common Mistakes

  • Relying solely on Federal Reserve rate cuts to predict mortgage rate trends as Powell's statements can cause uncertainty in the market.

Related Videos

More from Pricing & Profitability

Beyond Self-Taught: Why RevProf Exists

This article explores the value of community and structured learning in revenue management, contrasting it with the common autodidactic approach. It emphasizes the limitations of self-directed learning and highlights the benefits of collaborative learning through RevProf, a platform designed for peer-driven discourse. It stresses the importance of challenging assumptions, refining judgment through dialogue, and building a community for professional growth.

about 8 hours ago78
New tool shows earning potential for World Cup Airbnb hosts - FOX4KC.com

This article discusses a new tool that helps Airbnb hosts assess their earning potential during the World Cup. It highlights the significance of the event in driving demand. The tool could be useful for hosts in cities hosting matches, helping them optimize pricing and maximize revenue.

about 9 hours ago75
FIFA World Cup 2026: Airbnb launches Host Earnings Calculator - Revista Merca2.0

Airbnb has launched a Host Earnings Calculator for the FIFA World Cup 2026, offering hosts a tool to estimate potential earnings. This tool is a response to the anticipated surge in demand during the event, potentially leading to increased occupancy and ADR. Hosts can utilize this to evaluate the profitability of their properties and optimize their pricing strategies for the event.

about 19 hours ago85

Curated by Learn STR by GoStudioM