An Economic Bubble is Forming…Just Not for Real Estate

BiggerPockets Blog
Published: January 13, 2026
Pricing & Profitability

Summary

This article discusses the potential economic impact of an AI bubble and how it could affect the broader economy and real estate. While not directly about STRs, the article suggests monitoring economic trends, as a burst AI bubble could indirectly impact housing demand and therefore, STR businesses.

Key Insights

  • To justify current spending, AI companies need to generate $2 trillion in annual AI revenue by the end of the decade, but current end-user revenue is under $100 billion.
  • Hyperscalers (Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Amazon, OpenAI, Oracle, Nvidia, AMD) are expected to spend $527 billion in 2026 on AI capital expenditures.

Action Items

  • Monitor broader economic trends, as any economic downturn stemming from an AI bubble could affect housing demand.
    Effort: low
    Impact: medium

Common Mistakes

  • Don’t buy real estate near a data center solely for that reason; data centers are not a big enough long-term driver of housing demand.

Related Videos

More from Pricing & Profitability

Airbnb offers $750 incentive for some Ga. hosts during FIFA World Cup - WRDW

Airbnb is offering a $750 incentive for some hosts in Georgia during the FIFA World Cup, potentially boosting occupancy and profitability. This program seeks to capitalize on increased demand from the international event, offering financial benefits to participating hosts. Learn how to qualify and leverage this incentive for your STR.

2 days agoGeorgia85
News article thumbnail
Las Vegas Tourism Suffers Sharp Decline

Las Vegas tourism saw a sharp decline in 2025, experiencing its worst year since the pandemic with a 7.5% drop in visitor arrivals. Hotel occupancy decreased by 3.3 percentage points, and average daily rates fell by 5%. Learn how economic shifts can affect your STR business, and explore strategies to mitigate risk.

2 days agoLas Vegas, NV78
News article thumbnail
Choice Hotels’ Purge: Sheds Weak Properties to Lift Brand Quality

Choice Hotels is strategically shedding underperforming properties in the U.S. while expanding internationally. This has resulted in a 2.9% net decrease in U.S. rooms, while globally they saw a 1% increase. This shift reflects a focus on higher-quality properties and potentially higher fees, impacting the competitive landscape for hosts.

2 days ago75

Curated by Learn STR by GoStudioM