HousingWire 2026 housing market forecast: A more balanced market comes into view
Summary
This article forecasts a more balanced housing market in 2026, with potential impacts on home prices and mortgage rates that hosts should monitor. Hosts should pay attention to how changes in mortgage rates, especially those above or below 6.64%, could affect existing home sales and, indirectly, STR demand.
Key Insights
- •Housing data tends to improve when mortgage rates fall below 6.64% and head toward 6%, potentially boosting existing home sales. If rates can stay below 6.25%, an additional 237,000 existing home sales could occur in 2026.
- •Home prices are forecasted to be down 0.62% in 2026.
- •The forecast for 2026 is for the 10-year yield to range between 3.80% and 4.60%, and for mortgage rates to range from 5.75% to 6.75%.
Action Items
- ✓Monitor mortgage rate trends and housing market data, specifically the weekly Housing Market Tracker articles referenced in the article, to anticipate potential shifts in demand and adjust pricing strategies accordingly.Effort: lowImpact: medium
Tools & Resources
- →Housing Market Tracker: Follow our weekly Housing Market Tracker articles.
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