Scott Trench’s $1,000,000 Bet on Real Estate (Update)

BiggerPockets Blog
Published: January 21, 2026
Pricing & Profitability

Summary

This article discusses real estate investing and market outlook. While not directly about STRs, it offers insights into market trends and the author's investment decisions that may inform hosts' financial planning and risk management.

Key Insights

  • The S&P 500 is trading at a high Cape ratio and price-to-sales ratio, causing the author to be cautious about the stock market.
  • The author sold $1 million in stocks and invested in a quadplex and duplex, yielding a cap rate of 6.42% for the quadplex.

Action Items

  • Consider diversifying investments and potentially reevaluating portfolio allocation based on risk tolerance and market outlook.
    Effort: low
    Impact: medium

Common Mistakes

  • The author made a prediction that didn't play out as expected, highlighting the difficulty in market forecasting and the importance of diversification.

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