I use this rule to see if a market is worth deep diving.

The Caribbean tourism sector demonstrated remarkable resilience in 2025, reaching its strongest performance since before the pandemic with approximately 35 million stay-over arrivals, a 2.5% increase. Despite a major hurricane battering Jamaica and declines from key markets, South American arrivals surged by 23.7%. This showcases the region's recovery potential.

Hyatt's focus on luxury accommodations gives it an edge over Hilton, according to analysts at Barclays, Morgan Stanley, and Deutsche Bank. Hyatt has a significantly higher percentage of luxury rooms (22-31%) than Hilton (2.4%). This strategic positioning is expected to drive higher revenue from high-income travelers, who are considered more resilient.

Rising fuel prices, spurred by the Iran conflict, are dramatically impacting the airline industry, potentially leading to significant profit losses. Airlines are responding by increasing baggage fees, and, as United's CEO stated, raising fares by 20%. This economic shift could reshape travel and potentially impact short-term rental demand.